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World Cup 2026 Predictions
Match-by-match predictions for the 2026 World Cup — projected scoreline and win odds for every upcoming game, plus who's favored to win it all.
Updated daily
Who wins the cup
Our model's title odds, next to the betting market.
Predicted champion
France
Most likely final
ArgentinavsFrance27%
The market vs our model
What Polymarket traders pay for each champion, next to our simulation's title odds.
| Team | Market | Our model | Diff. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | France | 38.9% | 28.5% | +10.4 |
| 2 | England | 21.4% | 17.2% | +4.2 |
| 3 | Spain | 20.3% | 26.2% | -5.9 |
| 4 | Argentina | 18.4% | 26.3% | -8.0 |
| 5 | Algeria | 0.0% | 0.0% | +0.0 |
| 6 | Australia | 0.0% | 0.0% | +0.0 |
| 7 | Austria | 0.0% | 0.0% | +0.0 |
| 8 | Belgium | 0.0% | 0.0% | +0.0 |
| 9 | Bosnia and Herzegovina | 0.0% | 0.0% | +0.0 |
| 10 | Brazil | 0.0% | 0.0% | +0.0 |
Based on $4.2B traded in Polymarket's World Cup winner market.
Data from Polymarket
Upcoming match predictions
Our projected scoreline and win probability for each of the next matches.
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